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Horizon Report: Principles

For those of us in the ecosystem of virtual training and higher education is nothing new to talk about the saga Horizon Report, New Media Consortium (NMC) . The prospective nature-no-futurological, qualitative methodology, supported on an adaptation of Delphi method, and the identification of trends - such as critical challenges, have made this report a reference. However, assuming the valid and reliable for this type of study, they do not cease to be hypotheses, based, yes, but contrast as required .... better that way.

probably best to outline hypotheses on narrower subjects of study and contextualizes. With this idea eLearn Center at UOC and New Media Consortium (NMC) joined forces to develop the Latin American Horizon Report 2010, of which he was a member of the Advisory Council .

mid-February has been presented the 2011 Global Horizon Report, and having on hand last year, Global 2010 Horizon Report, decided to compare their products, ie, arranged in six emerging technologies horizons between 1 and 5 years with a regional study: Horizon Report on Latin America 2010 .

sequenced technologies in each of the three studies drawn from individual horizons differentiated them substantially by region, the object of study.

For example (image), mobile technologies are designed for immediate realities year globally in both 2010 and 2011, while for Latin America in 2010 are seen in the medium term, ie 2 to 3 years. The same distance, but in a different time slot, is drawn with augmented reality, medium-term view on global and long term reports on the Latin American report. It is also instructive that the future associated with visual or computer interfaces based on gestures are real potential to both global reports, but not at regional level.

Predictable or not, that stick with the moral: most general refinement can hide from reality.